The Wildfire Newsletter can exclusively confirm that the United States is about to hit a key benchmark for attaining “herd immunity,” based on CDC data and expert assessments.
Natural immunity is one of the most often overlooked factors in the fight against the Covid pandemic. Until the SARS-CoV-2 virus began spreading internationally from Wuhan, China in October 2019, it was a widely recognized component of the public health goal of acquiring herd immunity.
Herd immunity occurs “when a large portion of a community (the herd) becomes immune to a disease, making the spread of disease from person to person unlikely,” as the Mayo Clinic defines the term. “As a result, the whole community becomes protected — not just those who are immune.”
The Mayo Clinic’s article proceeds to discuss the perceived medical issues with pursuing “herd immunity” as a goal in the context of the Covid pandemic.
“There are two main paths to herd immunity for COVID-19 — infection and vaccines,” the article states. “Herd immunity can be reached when enough people in the population have recovered from a disease and have developed protective antibodies against future infection.”
“However, there are some major problems with relying on community infection to create herd immunity to the virus that causes COVID-19”:
- Reinfection. It’s not clear how long you are protected from getting sick again after recovering from COVID-19. Even if you have antibodies, you could get COVID-19 again. [Note: This is absolutely the same as vaccinated “breakthrough cases.’]
- Health impact. Experts estimate that in the U.S., 70% of the population — more than 200 million people — would have to recover from COVID-19 to halt the pandemic. [We are rapidly approaching this figure, see more below.] This number of infections could lead to serious complications and millions of deaths, especially among older people and those who have existing health conditions. The health care system could quickly become overwhelmed.
Finally, the Mayo Clinic claims that: “Herd immunity also can be reached when enough people have been vaccinated against a disease and have developed protective antibodies against future infection. Unlike the natural infection method, vaccines create immunity without causing illness or resulting complications.”
It is astonishing that there is already a lot of provable misinformation in a basic article about “Natural Immunity.” This is not even technical scientific literature. It is a basic overview on a broad topic. And the Mayo Clinic can’t even get that right.
Arguing that it is “not clear” how long Natural Immunity protection lasts is not “science.” The exact same thing can be said about the mRNA prophylactic therapeutics that are being called “vaccines.”
Yale Epidemiology Professor Dr. Harvey Risch set the record straight in October.
“People can get infected while the vax is working fully, but they’re relatively protected from very severe outcomes, which is a good thing, by and large, for the people who take it,” Dr. Risch said. “But they really need much more natural immunity from the infection going forward, in order to prevent what they’re seeing. And they need that natural immunity to combat other viruses, other strains that may be coming as well. And for longer-lasting protection, natural immunity is much longer lasting that vaxxed immunity.”
Dr. Risch is correct. In fact, after the “vaccines” were launched in January, it took until just August before the “booster” program was announced. This was a tacit admission of the rapidly waning efficacy of the drugs, despite Pfizer touting its vaccine as “100% effective” in preventing COVID-19 cases in one study.
More importantly, we are rapidly approaching the 70% threshold for prior infections that was held out by the Mayo Clinic, as estimated with CDC statistics. This threshold for “herd immunity” would mean that the Covid pandemic is effectively “over.”
As of the recent figures given through September, the “prior infections” were listed as 146.6 million. This was most recently updated in early October.
However, since the U.S. is currently reported to have had 49.2 million “cases,” then if you use the CDC case multiplier of 1 in 4.0, the prior infections would be 196.8 million prior infections — rapidly approaching 200 million. The Covid pandemic is effectively “over.”
Interestingly, and this pertains directly to the meaningfulness of the drive to get everyone vaccinated for Covid-19, the demographic breakdown of the prior infections shows that the cost-benefit analysis for vaccinating those under the age of 50 is dubious at best.
The CDC estimates that between 62 million and 90 million adults in the 18-49 age group had prior infections as of September 2021. There are an estimated 138.2 million people in this age cohort. Thus, between 44.8% and 65% have had prior infections and therefore, “natural immunity.”
As a sidenote, the redacted Pfizer documents that were submitted to the FDA in accordance with the ‘vaccine’ Emergency Use Authorization shows that this demographic is the most likely to suffer from Adverse Events, which are vastly underreported.
These documents are being released to the American people 500 redacted pages at a time over the course of 55 years, in accordance with a lawsuit’s terms. This is what the first batch of documents show about the Adverse Events data.
The group with the highest number of Adverse Events reported by Pfizer was in the 31 to 50 age group. (The FDA did not provide the number of doses administered, thus it does not appear immediately possible to calculate the risk percentages.) Alarmingly, there were 1223 fatalities reported by Pfizer to the FDA that we are only finding about now.
The spread of the “generally mild” Omicron variant has the potential to exponentially increase the prevalence of Natural Immunity in the population. One would expect to see this heralded in the press. On the contrary, however, the alarmism persists, ostensibly to justify the extreme Covid measures in numerous jurisdictions.
The myths about Natural Immunity nonetheless abound. A Washington Post “perspective” piece from September, however, got it right. Dr. Marty Makary, a professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine and Bloomberg School of Public Health, was correct in his assessment of the situation.
“It’s okay to have an incorrect scientific hypothesis. But when new data proves it wrong, you have to adapt,” Dr. Makary stated. “Unfortunately, many elected leaders and public health officials have held on far too long to the hypothesis that natural immunity offers unreliable protection against covid-19 — a contention that is being rapidly debunked by science.”
“More than 15 studies have demonstrated the power of immunity acquired by previously having the virus,” he continued. “A 700,000-person study from Israel two weeks ago found that those who had experienced prior infections were 27 times less likely to get a second symptomatic covid infection than those who were vaccinated. This affirmed a June Cleveland Clinic study of health-care workers (who are often exposed to the virus), in which none who had previously tested positive for the coronavirus got reinfected. The study authors concluded that ‘individuals who have had SARS-CoV-2 infection are unlikely to benefit from covid-19 vaccination.’ And in May, a Washington University study found that even a mild covid infection resulted in long-lasting immunity.”
The Johns Hopkins professor referred to 15 studies on natural immunity resulting from prior infections to Covid-19. A famous article from Brownstone listed 30 such scientific studies on the benefit of Covid-19 natural immunity, in addition to adding four more to its comprehensive list of 140 scientific studies on natural immunity.
It is clear from the data that the “extreme” Covid response policies in states like New York are not only morally and legally unjustifiable, they are not even backed by the science. New York has more than a 99% vaccination rate among the elderly, and 90% among those over the age of 12. It is nonetheless experiencing a fourth wave of infections, despite mask mandates, vaccine mandates, and Covid “passports.”
Meanwhile, Florida has no mask mandate and does not enforce any vaccine mandates. Vaccine passports are banned. It currently has among both the lowest Covid case rates and positivity rates in the United States. Even if the Covid virus is seasonal and regional in its trend patterns, as appears to be the case, the evidence shows that the extreme measures do not alter the virus’s behavior.
There may continue to be spikes in “cases” due to the “mostly mild” Omicron variant. Yet if you examine the mortality data from nearly two years of a pandemic, the odds of dying in the United States remains around two in one thousand people.
This comes with some major caveats. The average age of Covid-related mortality in 2020 was around life expectancy, and along with the vaccines, the age has trended downward. The CDC estimates that 95% of Covid-related deaths has serious, mainly multiple comorbidities.
Thus, it is difficult to disaggregate how many people who died with Covid simply tested positive for it after having been found deceased. The fact that the excess mortality rates have not gone down in 2021 despite the vaccines suggests that the Covid mortality reporting has been extremely flawed, if not outright misleading, from the very beginning. Nonetheless, there appears to be good news.
Natural immunity is taking over and is about to hit the herd immunity threshold in states that are not relying solely on vaccines for protection. Barring the development of an unknown variable, the Covid pandemic is effectively “over.”
OPINION: This article contains commentary which reflects the author's opinion.